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ETF · Mean reversion

QQQ Range Rider

A rules-based approach to short-term oversold conditions in QQQ.

Tactical longSystematic
Strategy mechanics

What the structure is designed to do.

This strategy focuses on QQQ, the exchange-traded fund that tracks the Nasdaq-100. It looks for short-term oversold conditions rather than buying continuously, with the aim of entering after market weakness.

Internal Bar Strength (IBS) is part of the entry and exit framework. Signals, exposure and exits should be evaluated together; a high historical win rate does not remove drawdown risk.

Risk check

This page is educational. Suitability depends on your objectives, experience, portfolio and ability to absorb loss.

The setup
  1. Trade QQQ only
  2. Wait for the defined oversold signal
  3. Exit when the framework identifies an overbought condition
Decision map

Know the trade-offs before entry.

Universe
QQQ
Style
Short-term mean reversion
Decision model
Rules-based entries and exits
Primary risk
Extended selloffs can persist after an oversold signal
Legacy backtest snapshot

Performance needs context.

Figures carried forward from the original Pater Capital material. Period, assumptions and methodology must be verified before use.

−13.85%Max drawdown
22.02%Rate of return
1.54MAR
72.59%Winning trades
1.34Sharpe

Historical and hypothetical results are not a guarantee of future performance. Backtests can omit live-market effects and are sensitive to assumptions.

Swipe horizontally to read the full chart.QQQ Range Rider historical equity curve
Historical backtest equity curve · legacy source material
Swipe horizontally to read the full chart.QQQ Range Rider historical drawdown chart
Historical backtest drawdown · legacy source material
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